COHU (Cohu, Inc.) BUY ★★★★☆FLAG | $67.05 | 확신도 0.60
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: FLAG
ADR: 5.4% · RS: 99%ile
갭: +1.7% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $53M
진입: $67.05 · 스탑: $55.00
스탑 거리: 18.0%
타이트닝: 폴70% T=2/3 body=0.0% atr=3.27
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★★★☆ ·
확신도: 0.60RS 99 (top of market), ADR 5.4%, $Vol $52.9M. Classic Qulla flag: pole then tight range then breakout, price surfing rising 10/20 SMA. Stop $55 = 18% dist (a bit wide, ~3.3 ADR) but acceptable for a multi-month base. Strongest candidate; genuine institutional accumulation.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: BUY ·
확신도: 0.60Only quality-4 candidate; regime MOMENTUM allows 3+. RS 99 (top of market), ADR 5.4%, $Vol $52.9M. Clean Qulla flag: multi-month uptrend, tight consolidation with higher lows, breakout to new 3-month highs surfing rising 10/20 SMA — genuine accumulation, not a chase from the base low.
⚠ Stop $55 is a wide 18% (~3.3 ADR) below entry; risk-per-trade sizing will keep shares small. Entry at $67 is right at the breakout pivot — a failed breakout back under the 10 SMA voids the thesis.
👁️ LLM Vision
accumulation: clean multi-month uptrend $30->$75, orderly pullback then tight consolidation $50-63 with higher lows through Aug-Sep, now breaking to new 3-month highs at pivot $67 on rising 10/20 SMA. Volume steady, no spike/pump signature.
WOLF (Wolfspeed, Inc.) PASS ★★☆☆☆FLAG | $28.79 | 확신도 0.30
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: FLAG
ADR: 6.4% · RS: 97%ile
갭: +0.6% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $56M
진입: $28.79 · 스탑: $23.74
스탑 거리: 17.5%
타이트닝: 폴86% T=1/3 body=0.0% atr=1.81
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★☆☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.30RS 97 but the 'pole' the scanner sees is the recovery off crushed lows, not a healthy prior advance. First attempt off the bottom of a broken chart. Stop $23.74 = 17.5% dist. Low-conviction; regime MOMENTUM needs quality 3+, this is 2.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.30Quality 2 < 3 required even in MOMENTUM. The 'pole' is a recovery off crushed lows (parabolic $80 top failed to $20); this is a first attempt off a broken chart on low volume, not a fresh momentum flag.
⚠ RS 97 is strong and price is reclaiming the 10/20 SMA; worth a watchlist re-check if it tightens and breaks out on volume.
👁️ LLM Vision
recovery base, not a fresh pole: parabolic run to ~$80 in May then failed all the way to ~$20 by Aug. Since Aug a long sideways base $24-29, first poke above the converging 10/20 SMA on low volume (vol_ratio 0.1). No volume expansion.
AEHR (Aehr Test Systems, Inc.) PASS ★★☆☆☆VCP | $99.37 | 확신도 0.30
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 7.8% · RS: 94%ile
갭: +0.4% · Vol배수: 0.2x
거래대금: $253M
진입: $99.37 · 스탑: $90.55
스탑 거리: 8.9%
타이트닝: 폴123% T=1/3 body=0.0% atr=7.92
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★☆☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.30RS 94, $Vol $252.7M. VCP requires each contraction tighter than the last with volume drying; this is volatile oscillation, not accumulation. Stop $90.55 = 8.9% dist (fine) but structure fails the pattern. Quality 2.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.30Quality 2 < 3. Choppy two-sided action ($147->$78->$99), no progressive T1->T2->T3 contractions, high ADR 7.8%. Fails the VCP pattern; volatile oscillation, not accumulation.
⚠ Very high $Vol $252.7M and RS 94 keep it on the radar if it forms a genuine tight base.
👁️ LLM Vision
choppy two-sided action, not a VCP: whipsawed $147 (Aug) -> $78 -> $99 now. No progressive T1->T2->T3 contractions, lots of large red candles, high ADR 7.8%. Recovery back toward entry is volatile, not tight volume-dry pivot.
AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.) PASS ★★☆☆☆VCP | $18.00 | 확신도 0.25
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 4.1% · RS: 96%ile
갭: +0.1% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $125M
진입: $18.00 · 스탑: $14.91
스탑 거리: 17.2%
타이트닝: 폴26% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=0.65
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★☆☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.25RS 96, ADR 4.1% (at floor). Not a Qulla VCP: no progressive tightening, price just V-recovered into overhead resistance. Sharp spike bounce closer to pump-style than steady accumulation. Stop $14.91 = 17.2% dist. Quality 2.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.25Quality 2 < 3. Range-bound $15-20 all 6mo with T=0/3 contractions — no VCP structure. Sharp V-bounce into overhead resistance at $18; chasing a spike, contrary to Qulla 'buy near the base, never chase'.
⚠ ADR 4.1% is at the filter floor, limiting upside velocity even if it did break out.
👁️ LLM Vision
range-bound $15-20 for entire 6mo; sharp V-bounce from Sep low ~$15 to $18 on a large volume spike (mid-Sep). Now pressing prior resistance $18 from below. Scanner shows T=0/3 contractions — no real VCP structure.
🛡️ QA 품질 검수 — PASS
4 candidates checked, 0 violations, 3 warnings. Scanner filters all satisfied (ADR/$Vol/close/RS). Evaluator gradings consistent with warning thresholds (no ADR>15, stop>25%, or pole>500% rated tradeable). Decision correctly gated MOMENTUM at quality 3+ — only COHU (quality 4) BUY, WOLF/AEHR/AEO (quality 2) PASS. All decisions carry dissent. No trade needs cancellation.
⚠ COHU: stop $55 is 18% below entry $67.05 (~3.3 ADR) — wide but within the 25% limit; keep share size small to hold risk <=1%.
⚠ sized_orders.json absent — Half Kelly sizing step is not part of this scan pipeline; Risk checklist (risk<=1%, position<=20%, <=10 positions, overnight<=30%) deferred to execution stage.
⚠ Regime MOMENTUM: 1 BUY (COHU), 3 PASS. No positions carried to execution beyond COHU.
📈 시장 레짐 상세
SMA10: $767.53 · SMA20: $765.33
SMA10 기울기: 0.5493 · SMA20 기울기: 0.0066
ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) SMC$301.29 | 2봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.1% · 거래대금: $223M · RS: 97%ile (참고)
진입: $301.29 · 스탑: $249.09 · 스탑거리: 17.3%
AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.) SMC$18.00 | 2봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.1% · 거래대금: $110M · RS: 96%ile (참고)
진입: $18.00 · 스탑: $14.81 · 스탑거리: 17.7%