PCTY PASS ★★★☆☆VCP | $145.66 | 확신도 0.35
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 4.1% · RS: 98%ile
갭: +0.4% · Vol배수: 0.2x
거래대금: $81M
진입: $145.66 · 스탑: $120.60
스탑 거리: 17.2%
타이트닝: 폴46% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=6.18
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★★☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.50RS 98 and the multi-month base make this a legitimate strong-RS breakout candidate. However it is not a textbook VCP: scanner tightness shows T=0/3 contractions (no progressive T1->T2->T3 tightening), and the pivot entry ($145.66) sits at the top of a sharp vertical move with a wide stop distance of 17.2% ((145.66-120.6)/145.66). Chasing an extended breakout with a wide stop caps quality. No hard warnings triggered (ADR 4.1%<15%, stop 17.2%<25%, pole 46%<500%).
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.35Market regime is DIFFICULT, which requires a star-4+ setup (conviction x0.7). PCTY is only star-3, so it fails the regime gate. Independently it also violates Qulla's core rule against chasing: the pivot entry ($145.66) sits at the top of a near-vertical breakout thrust, i.e. extended well above the base, not a low-risk entry near support. Effective conviction after the 0.7 DIFFICULT haircut (0.5 x 0.7 = 0.35) is well below any actionable level.
⚠ Bull case: RS 98, a clean multi-month base, rising 10/20 SMAs, and a volume-backed breakout make this a legitimately strong name. If the regime were MOMENTUM (star-3 allowed) and the entry were taken on a tight pullback to the rising 10 SMA rather than at the extended pivot, this could be a valid VCP-style buy. Not for today.
👁️ LLM Vision
accumulation: clean ~6-month rounding base ($100-113) with rising 10/20 SMAs and a volume-backed breakout on the final bar. Real $145 name (ADR 4.1%), RS 98 — no pump/penny anomaly. But the breakout is a near-vertical thrust; the last candle is a large green spike landing right at the pivot, so price is already extended.
🛡️ QA 품질 검수 — PASS
1 candidate (PCTY/VCP) scanned in a DIFFICULT regime. Scanner filters all satisfied (ADR 4.1%>=4%, $Vol 80.6M>=30M, close $145.66>=5, RS 98>=93). Evaluator rated star-3 with accumulation chart_assessment and no hard warnings (ADR<15%, stop 17.2%<25%, pole 46%<500%). Decision correctly gated PCTY to PASS because DIFFICULT requires star-4+, with dissent recorded and Qulla's no-chase rule cited (entry extended above base). No BUY orders, so no sizing/risk checks apply; no stop>=entry issues. 0 violations, 0 warnings.
📈 시장 레짐 상세
SMA10: $742.35 · SMA20: $746.05
SMA10 기울기: -0.9442 · SMA20 기울기: 0.0497