PATH PASS ★★☆☆☆VCP | $13.99 | 확신도 0.21
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 6.4% · RS: 100%ile
갭: +0.6% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $966M
진입: $13.99 · 스탑: $10.20
스탑 거리: 27.1%
타이트닝: 폴49% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=0.77
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★☆☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.30RS 100, ADR 6.4%, $966M dollar volume — liquidity and RS are strong. But the VCP structure is weak: scan tightness shows T=0/3 valid contractions (pole 49%, body 0.0%), meaning no progressive T1->T2->T3 tightening or volume dry-up before the pivot; it is a wide/loose base. CRITICAL: stop $10.20 sits at the base bottom, giving stop distance (13.99-10.20)/13.99 = 27.1% > 25% -> untradeable per Qulla rules (risk-per-trade cannot be honored at <=20% position with 1% risk). Quality 2, low conviction.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.21DIFFICULT regime requires quality >=4 stars; Evaluator graded PATH at 2 stars (loose multi-month base, T=0/3 valid contractions, no volume dry-up) so it fails the regime gate. Independent conviction = 0.3 x 0.7 (DIFFICULT) = 0.21. VCP is allowed in DIFFICULT (not BEAR), but this candidate does not clear the bar.
⚠ RS 100, ADR 6.4% and $966M dollar volume are genuinely strong and the recent breakout is real, so a MOMENTUM regime might merit a watchlist entry. Decisive rejection factor regardless of regime: stop $10.20 gives 27.1% stop distance (>25% untradeable) — a compliant 1%-risk position cannot be sized within the 20% position cap. No trade.
👁️ LLM Vision
accumulation-leaning but loose: recent breakout to $14 rides on rising volume and price surfs above rising 10/20 SMA, but a very large volume spike in mid-July and a wide multi-month base ($10-13) make this closer to a range breakout than clean institutional VCP accumulation. Not a pump/penny-stock spike.
🛡️ QA 품질 검수 — PASS
1 candidate (PATH/VCP). Scanner filters all satisfied (ADR 6.4%>=4%, $966M>=$30M, close $13.99>=$5, RS 99.7>=93). DIFFICULT regime requires 4+ stars; PATH graded 2 stars -> Decision=PASS. Stop distance 27.1%>25% correctly kept it untradeable. 0 BUY orders, 0 violations, 2 warnings. Risk checks N/A (no orders). Chart was read and cited in reasoning. All outputs consistent with Qulla rules.
⚠ PATH: stop distance 27.1% > 25% (untradeable) — correctly rejected by Decision (action=PASS), no trade generated.
⚠ PATH: VCP tightness T=0/3 (loose base, no progressive contraction) — Evaluator graded 2 stars, consistent with a wide-base breakout rather than a clean VCP.
📈 시장 레짐 상세
SMA10: $747.98 · SMA20: $748.70
SMA10 기울기: 0.8288 · SMA20 기울기: 0.3912
CALX SMC$38.33 | 당일 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.5% · 거래대금: $52M · RS: 64%ile (참고)
진입: $38.33 · 스탑: $35.00 · 스탑거리: 8.7%
FTNT SMC$168.58 | 당일 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 4.6% · 거래대금: $866M · RS: 70%ile (참고)
진입: $168.58 · 스탑: $143.77 · 스탑거리: 14.7%
PANW SMC$371.65 | 당일 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.6% · 거래대금: $2294M · RS: 76%ile (참고)
진입: $371.65 · 스탑: $308.54 · 스탑거리: 17.0%
ANET SMC$194.22 | 1봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 5.6% · 거래대금: $1402M · RS: 76%ile (참고)
진입: $194.22 · 스탑: $156.84 · 스탑거리: 19.2%
AXON SMC$605.78 | 1봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 4.7% · 거래대금: $520M · RS: 96%ile (참고)
진입: $605.78 · 스탑: $485.75 · 스탑거리: 19.8%
KTOS SMC$56.31 | 1봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 6.1% · 거래대금: $239M · RS: 89%ile (참고)
진입: $56.31 · 스탑: $43.09 · 스탑거리: 23.5%
MDB SMC$381.91 | 1봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 5.7% · 거래대금: $480M · RS: 97%ile (참고)
진입: $381.91 · 스탑: $291.79 · 스탑거리: 23.6%
PLTR SMC$161.14 | 1봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.9% · 거래대금: $5782M · RS: 99%ile (참고)
진입: $161.14 · 스탑: $117.89 · 스탑거리: 26.8%
MPWR SMC$1331.94 | 2봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 5.2% · 거래대금: $1435M · RS: 15%ile (참고)
진입: $1331.94 · 스탑: $1240.02 · 스탑거리: 6.9%