COHU (Cohu, Inc.) BUY ★★★★☆FLAG | $65.84 | 확신도 0.42
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: FLAG
ADR: 5.5% · RS: 99%ile
갭: +2.2% · Vol배수: 0.2x
거래대금: $54M
진입: $65.84 · 스탑: $51.06
스탑 거리: 22.4%
타이트닝: 폴70% T=1/3 body=0.0% atr=3.46
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★★★☆ ·
확신도: 0.60RS 99.3 (top of universe), ADR 5.5%, price reclaiming entry $65.8 on constructive structure. Qulla weights RS/context over strict tightness (MSTR precedent). Concerns: prior correction was ~40% deep and breakout volume is light, so not a picture-perfect flag. Stop dist 22.4% (<25% OK). Cleanest of the three.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: BUY ·
확신도: 0.42Only ★≥4 candidate, clears DIFFICULT gate. RS 99.3 top-of-universe, ADR 5.5%, clean higher-lows recovery surfing rising 10/20 SMA into new base highs at entry $65.84. Conviction 0.60 × 0.7 (DIFFICULT) = 0.42.
⚠ Prior correction was ~40% deep (more than an ideal flag pullback) and breakout volume is light. Stop distance 22.4% is wide (<25% limit) — risk sizing must respect ≤1% portfolio risk.
👁️ LLM Vision
accumulation: clean uptrend $30->$75, orderly correction, now higher-lows recovery surfing rising 10/20 SMA into new base highs. No spike/pump anomaly.
AEHR (Aehr Test Systems, Inc.) WATCHLIST ★★★☆☆VCP | $99.34 | 확신도 0.35
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 7.8% · RS: 97%ile
갭: +3.5% · Vol배수: 0.4x
거래대금: $252M
진입: $99.34 · 스탑: $84.25
스탑 거리: 15.2%
타이트닝: 폴123% T=1/3 body=0.0% atr=8.12
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★★☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.50RS 97.4, ADR 7.8%, dvol $251M — real liquidity and strength, no pump. But structure is not a clean progressive VCP (T1->T2->T3); it is a wide volatile consolidation with a recent recovery. Stop dist 15.2% OK. Solid name, imperfect setup.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: WATCHLIST ·
확신도: 0.35★≤3 in DIFFICULT regime — below the ★≥4 BUY gate. Strong name (RS 97.4, ADR 7.8%, $251M dvol, genuine institutional run) but base is wide/volatile, not a clean progressive VCP. Watch for a tighter pivot and volume dry-up before entry.
⚠ Aug spike to $146 collapsed to $80 — elevated volatility; recovery to entry could stall at prior supply.
👁️ LLM Vision
accumulation with high volatility: genuine institutional run Mar-Apr, but base May-Sep is wide/choppy (Aug spike to $146 collapsed to $80). Recent tightening near $95-100 with volume drying + price reclaiming entry.
AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.) PASS ★★☆☆☆VCP | $17.68 | 확신도 0.00
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 4.0% · RS: 96%ile
갭: +0.3% · Vol배수: 0.2x
거래대금: $124M
진입: $17.68 · 스탑: $14.81
스탑 거리: 16.2%
타이트닝: 폴26% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=0.55
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★☆☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.30RS 96, ADR only 4.0% (barely passing). No genuine VCP contraction; oscillating range and a heavy distribution spike undermine the accumulation thesis. Entry sits under range resistance. Stop dist 16.2% OK but low-quality setup.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.00★≤2, fails DIFFICULT gate. Choppy range with no prior uptrend base, ADR only 4.0% (barely passing), and a heavy 26M-share distribution candle in early Sep. Not a genuine VCP; entry sits at range resistance.
⚠ None — low-quality setup, clear PASS.
👁️ LLM Vision
anomaly/weak: choppy 6-month range $14.5-$20.5 with no prior uptrend base. Large 26M-share red distribution candle in early Sep at the lows, then recovery back to top-of-range resistance.
🛡️ QA 품질 검수 — PASS
3 candidates scanned (2 VCP, 1 FLAG) in DIFFICULT regime. 0 violations, 2 warnings. Scanner/Evaluator/Decision all consistent with Qulla rules: only ★≥4 COHU cleared the DIFFICULT gate as BUY; AEHR (★≤3) WATCHLIST; AEO (★≤2, distribution candle) PASS. All stops below entry.
⚠ COHU: stop distance 22.4% is wide (approaching the 25% cap). Risk sizing must keep per-trade risk ≤1% of portfolio — on $10,000 that is ~6 shares (~$400 position).
⚠ Sizing step (half_kelly_sizing.py) is not part of this scan pipeline, so sized_orders.json was not produced. Risk checks limited to stop<entry and stop-distance validation.
📈 시장 레짐 상세
SMA10: $765.97 · SMA20: $764.94
SMA10 기울기: 0.4160 · SMA20 기울기: -0.0325
AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.) SMC$17.68 | 1봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.0% · 거래대금: $108M · RS: 96%ile (참고)
진입: $17.68 · 스탑: $14.63 · 스탑거리: 17.3%
ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) SMC$299.14 | 1봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.1% · 거래대금: $231M · RS: 98%ile (참고)
진입: $299.14 · 스탑: $240.20 · 스탑거리: 19.7%
AMBA (Ambarella, Inc.) SMC$68.31 | 2봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 6.1% · 거래대금: $113M · RS: 78%ile (참고)
진입: $68.31 · 스탑: $61.91 · 스탑거리: 9.4%
AEHR (Aehr Test Systems, Inc.) SMC$99.34 | 2봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 7.8% · 거래대금: $239M · RS: 97%ile (참고)
진입: $99.34 · 스탑: $81.13 · 스탑거리: 18.3%