Qulla AI Trading Dashboard

2026-09-23 | Powered by Qullamaggie methodology

BEAR
시장 레짐
4
후보
0
BUY
2
WATCH
2
PASS
0
주문
CRWD (CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.) WATCHLIST ★★★★☆FLAG | $251.71 | 확신도 0.18

🔍 스캔 후보 이유

셋업: FLAG
ADR: 5.8% · RS: 97%ile
갭: +1.1% · Vol배수: 0.2x
거래대금: $2852M
진입: $251.71 · 스탑: $206.74
스탑 거리: 17.9%
타이트닝: 폴40% T=1/3 body=0.0% atr=14.36

📊 Setup Evaluator

등급: ★★★★☆ · 확신도: 0.60
RS 97, ADR 5.8%, stop_dist 17.9% (OK). Textbook flat-top/higher-lows continuation flag off a strong leader. Tight consolidation broke on the entry candle. High-quality structure.

🧠 Decision Agent

결정: WATCHLIST · 확신도: 0.18
Best structure of the day: clean FLAG on a strong leader (RS 97, ADR 5.8%), higher lows surfing rising 10/20 SMA, breakout to new ATH, stop_dist 17.9% OK. BEAR regime gate allows FLAG only at conviction x0.3 (0.60 -> 0.18). With SPY SMA10 (-0.21) and SMA20 (-0.05) both declining, new long breakouts fight the tape -> WATCHLIST, not BUY. Re-arm to BUY if regime turns MOMENTUM/DIFFICULT.
⚠ Structure alone would merit a BUY in a healthy tape; the only thing withholding entry is the BEAR regime.

👁️ LLM Vision

accumulation: clean multi-month advance $95->$250 surfing rising 10/20 SMA, consistent higher lows, orderly two-sided volume, breaking to new all-time high. Genuine institutional accumulation, no pump/spike anomaly.
OKTA (Okta, Inc.) WATCHLIST ★★★★☆HTF | $198.17 | 확신도 0.17

🔍 스캔 후보 이유

셋업: HTF
ADR: 5.3% · RS: 95%ile
갭: +3.6% · Vol배수: 0.2x
거래대금: $775M
진입: $198.17 · 스탑: $166.50
스탑 거리: 16.0%
타이트닝: 폴52% T=1/3 body=0.0% atr=10.89

📊 Setup Evaluator

등급: ★★★★☆ · 확신도: 0.55
RS 95, ADR 5.3%, stop_dist 16.0% (OK). Valid high-tight-flag continuation — strong prior advance, orderly digestion, breakout to new highs. Solid quality.

🧠 Decision Agent

결정: WATCHLIST · 확신도: 0.17
Valid HTF continuation (RS 95, ADR 5.3%): prior move >100%, shallow pullbacks, higher lows with rising 10/20 SMA, volume drying into breakout, stop_dist 16.0% OK. BEAR regime gate allows HTF only at conviction x0.3 (0.55 -> 0.165). Defensive in a downtrend -> WATCHLIST.
⚠ Clean leader; held off solely on regime. Watch for follow-through above $198.

👁️ LLM Vision

accumulation: prior move ~$70->$198 (>100%), pullbacks stayed shallow, higher lows with 10/20 SMA catching up, volume drying during consolidation then expanding into breakout at new highs. Clean structure, no anomaly.
MRNA (Moderna, Inc.) PASS ★★☆☆☆VCP | $189.35 | 확신도 0.00

🔍 스캔 후보 이유

셋업: VCP
ADR: 7.1% · RS: 100%ile
갭: +6.0% · Vol배수: 0.4x
거래대금: $2641M
진입: $189.35 · 스탑: $135.61
스탑 거리: 28.4%
타이트닝: 폴252% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=12.45

📊 Setup Evaluator

등급: ★★☆☆☆ · 확신도: 0.25
RS 100, ADR 7.1%, pole 252%. WARNING: stop_dist = (189.35-135.61)/189.35 = 28.4% > 25% -> trade-blocking. Biotech microcap-style catalyst spike is high failure-rate; structure is not a clean VCP. Low quality, effectively untradeable on stop distance.

🧠 Decision Agent

결정: PASS · 확신도: 0.00
VCP -> PASS by BEAR regime gate, and independently disqualified: stop_dist = 28.4% > 25% (trade-blocking), post-catalyst biotech spike (~200M-vol day) rather than a volume-drying VCP, extended far above 10/20 SMA. No trade.
⚠ None — multiple independent disqualifiers reinforce the PASS.

👁️ LLM Vision

anomaly/extended: flat $45-60 base then a single ~200M-volume catalyst spike to $175 (biotech event), followed by choppy $140-160 consolidation, now extended to $189. This is a post-catalyst spike, not a progressive volume-drying VCP contraction. Far above 10/20 SMA.
MDB (MongoDB, Inc.) PASS ★★☆☆☆VCP | $425.15 | 확신도 0.00

🔍 스캔 후보 이유

셋업: VCP
ADR: 4.8% · RS: 96%ile
갭: +5.8% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $758M
진입: $425.15 · 스탑: $358.38
스탑 거리: 15.7%
타이트닝: 폴58% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=22.09

📊 Setup Evaluator

등급: ★★☆☆☆ · 확신도: 0.30
RS 96, ADR 4.8%, stop_dist 15.7% (OK). Structure fails the VCP requirement of successively tighter contractions and rising SMAs. Momentum has broken; entry is into resistance. Low quality.

🧠 Decision Agent

결정: PASS · 확신도: 0.00
VCP -> PASS by BEAR regime gate. Independently confirmed: structure deteriorated (topped ~$470, rolled over, chopping below highs, 10 SMA flattening), volume dead (ratio 0.10), entry into overhead supply. Not a tightening VCP. No trade.
⚠ None — evaluator and regime agree.

👁️ LLM Vision

deteriorating: topped ~$470 in Aug then rolled over, now chopping $360-425 with 10 SMA flattening/turning down. Not a progressive T1>T2>T3 contraction — a wide two-way range below prior highs. Volume ratio 0.10 (dead). Entry sits at overhead supply, not a clean pivot.

🛡️ QA 품질 검수 — PASS

4 candidates (MRNA/CRWD/OKTA/MDB), 0 violations, 2 warnings. Scanner filters (ADR/$Vol/RS/price) all clean. Evaluator honored ADR>15% / stop_dist>25% / anomaly guards. Decision honored BEAR regime gates: both VCPs PASS, FLAG/HTF WATCHLIST, no BUYs. No sizing needed (0 orders); no stop>=entry. QA PASS.
⚠ MRNA: stop_dist = (189.35-135.61)/189.35 = 28.4% > 25% — correctly handled (Evaluator rated ★2, Decision PASS). No trade generated.
⚠ Regime BEAR with SPY SMA10 & SMA20 both declining: two clean leaders (CRWD FLAG, OKTA HTF) held on WATCHLIST rather than BUY. Zero BUY orders today — consistent with Qulla capital-preservation in a downtrend.

📈 시장 레짐 상세

SMA10: $762.32 · SMA20: $764.95
SMA10 기울기: -0.2070 · SMA20 기울기: -0.0513
6
SMC 신호
2
당일 전환
OLLI (Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.) SMC$83.16 | 당일 전환

🟢 SMC 신호

Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 4.6% · 거래대금: $127M · RS: 86%ile (참고)
진입: $83.16 · 스탑: $71.28 · 스탑거리: 14.3%
SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.) SMC$41.49 | 당일 전환

🟢 SMC 신호

Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 5.3% · 거래대금: $1845M · RS: 76%ile (참고)
진입: $41.49 · 스탑: $35.36 · 스탑거리: 14.8%
COHR (Coherent Corp.) SMC$301.17 | 1봉 전 전환

🟢 SMC 신호

Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 5.4% · 거래대금: $2051M · RS: 55%ile (참고)
진입: $301.17 · 스탑: $265.49 · 스탑거리: 11.8%
PANW (Palo Alto Networks, Inc.) SMC$378.78 | 2봉 전 전환

🟢 SMC 신호

Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.9% · 거래대금: $2255M · RS: 92%ile (참고)
진입: $378.78 · 스탑: $327.05 · 스탑거리: 13.7%
TWLO (Twilio Inc.) SMC$289.52 | 2봉 전 전환

🟢 SMC 신호

Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 4.3% · 거래대금: $474M · RS: 99%ile (참고)
진입: $289.52 · 스탑: $222.63 · 스탑거리: 23.1%
ARM (Arm Holdings plc) SMC$329.64 | 2봉 전 전환

🟢 SMC 신호

Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.8% · 거래대금: $1120M · RS: 99%ile (참고)
진입: $329.64 · 스탑: $238.03 · 스탑거리: 27.8%