VLO (Valero Energy Corporation) BUY ★★★★☆VCP | $426.30 | 확신도 0.65
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 4.3% · RS: 97%ile
갭: +1.0% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $1490M
진입: $426.30 · 스탑: $382.86
스탑 거리: 10.2%
타이트닝: 폴46% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=14.90
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★★★☆ ·
확신도: 0.65RS 97.0 (strongest), ADR 4.3%, $Vol 1490M (very liquid large-cap). Clean VCP-style continuation: orderly contractions into the pivot, volume dried up before the breakout candle. Breaking to fresh ATH at $426.3. Stop dist 10.2%, no warnings. Best-quality setup of the three.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: BUY ·
확신도: 0.65MOMENTUM regime (SMA10>SMA20, rising). Highest-quality candidate (quality 4): clean VCP continuation surfing rising 10/20 SMA, RS 97.0 (strongest), ADR 4.3%, very deep liquidity ($1.49B). Late-Sep high-volume shakeout then breakout to fresh ATH at the pivot - valid entry, not a chase. Stop dist 10.2%.
⚠ Price is at an all-time high with no overhead supply reference; a failed breakout back below the 10 SMA would be the fast exit.
👁️ LLM Vision
accumulation: textbook steady uptrend from $230 to $426 surfing the rising 10/20 SMA with higher lows. Late-Sep high-volume shakeout to the SMA then recovery and breakout to new highs - healthy supply absorption, not a pump.
COHU (Cohu, Inc.) WATCHLIST ★★★☆☆HTF | $71.43 | 확신도 0.40
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: HTF
ADR: 4.8% · RS: 96%ile
갭: -2.9% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $62M
진입: $71.43 · 스탑: $63.70
스탑 거리: 10.8%
타이트닝: 폴87% T=1/3 body=0.0% atr=3.22
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★★☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.50RS 95.7, ADR 4.8%, $Vol 61.9M all qualify. Constructive HTF recovery with higher lows and SMA support. Caveat: the interim Jun high ($73) to Sep low ($44) pullback is ~40%, beyond HTF's ideal <=25%, so this is as much a fresh breakout as a textbook HTF. Latest candle prints an upper-wick reversal right at entry - watch for follow-through. Stop dist 10.8%, no warnings triggered.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: WATCHLIST ·
확신도: 0.40MOMENTUM regime allows quality 3. Constructive recovery breakout with rising 10/20 SMA, RS 95.7, ADR 4.8%, $Vol 61.9M. Held to WATCHLIST rather than BUY because the latest candle prints an upper-wick reversal right at the entry line - wants confirmation of follow-through above $71.43 before committing.
⚠ Interim Jun->Sep drawdown ~40% is deeper than HTF's ideal <=25% pullback, so the base is less pristine than a textbook HTF; today's reversal wick raises failed-breakout risk.
👁️ LLM Vision
accumulation: steady volume, no single-day spike. Recovered from the Jun-Sep base on a clean rising 10/20 SMA and is breaking above the prior $70-71 resistance at the ATH zone.
SITM (SiTime Corporation) PASS ★★☆☆☆VCP | $679.94 | 확신도 0.00
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 5.2% · RS: 96%ile
갭: -3.4% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $287M
진입: $679.94 · 스탑: $643.24
스탑 거리: 5.4%
타이트닝: 폴62% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=32.63
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★☆☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.35RS 96.4, ADR 5.2%, $Vol 287M qualify, but the VCP structure is weak: contraction count T=0/3, entry $679.94 sits mid-range rather than at a tight pivot, and the base is volatile after the blow-off top. Stop dist only 5.4% because the stop hugs a mid-range level, not a true base low - vulnerable to a shakeout. Low conviction; not a Qulla-grade VCP.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.00Quality 2, below the MOMENTUM ★3 threshold. VCP structure is weak (contractions T=0/3), base is a wide/choppy range after the May blow-off spike to $900, and the entry sits mid-range rather than at a tight pivot. Not a Qulla-grade setup.
⚠ RS 96.4 and $287M liquidity are attractive; if it tightens into a genuine pivot it could re-qualify, but today it does not.
👁️ LLM Vision
mixed/anomaly-leaning: the May spike to $900 on a volume blow-off was a one-off, followed by a wide, choppy range ($460-$900). Not clean institutional accumulation - overlapping candles, no orderly contraction.
🛡️ QA 품질 검수 — PASS
3 candidates (HTF x1, VCP x2) in MOMENTUM regime. Scanner filters all satisfied (ADR>=4%, $Vol>=$30M, close>=$5, RS>=93). Evaluator ratings consistent with charts (no ADR>15%, no anomaly rated >=3, all stop distances <25%). Decision gates correct: SITM (2) PASS, COHU (3) WATCHLIST, VLO (4) BUY; all dissent recorded. All stops below entry. 0 violations, 3 warnings. No trade cancellation required.
⚠ SITM: stop $643.24 sits only 5.4% below entry and hugs a mid-range level rather than a true base low; QA concurs with Decision PASS (quality 2 < MOMENTUM threshold).
⚠ COHU: interim Jun->Sep drawdown ~40% exceeds HTF's ideal <=25% pullback; Decision correctly downgraded to WATCHLIST pending breakout confirmation.
⚠ sized_orders.json not present: this run is a scan/decision pipeline only (no Half Kelly sizing or execution step), so no order-level risk checks (risk%, position size, overnight cap) were applicable.
📈 시장 레짐 상세
SMA10: $769.29 · SMA20: $766.31
SMA10 기울기: 0.2988 · SMA20 기울기: 0.1635
SNAP (Snap Inc.) SMC$5.67 | 당일 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 4.5% · 거래대금: $182M · RS: 91%ile (참고)
진입: $5.67 · 스탑: $5.18 · 스탑거리: 8.7%
U (Unity Software Inc.) SMC$44.38 | 당일 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.8% · 거래대금: $413M · RS: 61%ile (참고)
진입: $44.38 · 스탑: $38.44 · 스탑거리: 13.4%