COHU (Cohu, Inc.) BUY ★★★★☆FLAG | $69.25 | 확신도 0.42
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: FLAG
ADR: 5.2% · RS: 99%ile
갭: +0.3% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $54M
진입: $69.25 · 스탑: $57.75
스탑 거리: 16.6%
타이트닝: 폴76% T=1/3 body=0.0% atr=3.21
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★★★☆ ·
확신도: 0.60RS 99, ADR 5.2%, genuine FLAG off strength. Long base ($43-63) consolidation after prior run, now breaking to new highs near prior $75 pivot. Institutional accumulation structure, not a spike. Stop dist 16.6% (acceptable). Best candidate of the set.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: BUY ·
확신도: 0.42Only candidate meeting the DIFFICULT regime gate (4-star+). Clean multi-month uptrend $30->$70, higher-low summer consolidation, volume-supported breakout to new highs near prior $75 pivot, RS 99, rising 10/20 SMA. Genuine accumulation. Conviction 0.6 x 0.7 (DIFFICULT) = 0.42.
⚠ Stop distance 16.6% is wide, so Half Kelly sizing will be constrained. ADR 5.2% is moderate. DIFFICULT regime warrants reduced exposure; entry is near a prior resistance pivot (~$75) so watch for failure back into the base.
👁️ LLM Vision
accumulation: steady multi-month uptrend $30->$70, clean higher-low consolidation through summer, volume-supported breakout back to new highs with rising 10/20 SMA surfing
WOLF (Wolfspeed, Inc.) PASS ★★☆☆☆FLAG | $28.38 | 확신도 0.30
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: FLAG
ADR: 6.5% · RS: 96%ile
갭: +2.1% · Vol배수: 0.2x
거래대금: $58M
진입: $28.38 · 스탑: $25.59
스탑 거리: 9.8%
타이트닝: 폴86% T=2/3 body=0.0% atr=1.83
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★☆☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.30RS 96 inflated by the earlier spike that has since fully retraced. No strong prior uptrend into the current consolidation - price is well below all highs and SMAs are flat. Not a valid Qulla FLAG. Volume drying up but this is a bottoming base, not a bull flag. Low conviction.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.30Fails DIFFICULT 4-star+ gate (2-star). Prior parabolic pump ($15->$80) has fully retraced (-65%); current structure is a bottoming base at lows, not a flag off strength. RS inflated by the earlier spike. No entry.
⚠ If it reclaims and holds the 10/20 SMA with a real volume expansion out of this base, revisit as HTF/FLAG later. Not actionable now.
👁️ LLM Vision
anomaly/round-trip: parabolic pump ~$15->$80 (May) then full crash back to ~$25 by Aug; current structure is a low base after -65% decline, not a flag off an uptrend
AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.) PASS ★★☆☆☆VCP | $17.92 | 확신도 0.25
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 4.2% · RS: 96%ile
갭: +0.2% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $126M
진입: $17.92 · 스탑: $15.06
스탑 거리: 16.0%
타이트닝: 폴26% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=0.70
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★☆☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.25Not a valid VCP - no progressive tightening (T=0/3), no volume dry-up into a pivot. The large volume spike at the Sept low is a washout anomaly, not accumulation. ADR 4.2% at the minimum threshold. In a DIFFICULT regime VCP needs 4-star+; this does not qualify.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.25Fails DIFFICULT 4-star+ gate (2-star) and is not a valid VCP (T=0/3 contractions, V-recovery off a mid-Sept capitulation volume spike). Choppy 6-month range with no volume dry-up into a pivot. No entry.
⚠ None - structurally weak and does not qualify in this regime.
👁️ LLM Vision
no contraction / V-recovery: choppy $15-20 range all 6mo, T=0/3 valid contractions, V-shaped bounce off a mid-Sept capitulation volume spike (~26M) back to the pivot
🛡️ QA 품질 검수 — PASS
3 candidates (FLAG x2, VCP x1) scanned in DIFFICULT regime. 1 BUY (COHU, 4-star FLAG breakout, RS 99), 2 PASS (WOLF 2-star post-pump base, AEO 2-star invalid VCP). 0 violations, 3 warnings. SMC scan returned 0 candidates. All scanner filters, regime gates, and stop<entry checks passed.
⚠ COHU: stop distance 16.6% is wide for a FLAG entry near the prior $75 pivot - Half Kelly sizing will be constrained and failure risk back into the base is elevated in a DIFFICULT regime.
⚠ Market regime is DIFFICULT (SPY SMA10 $766.75 > SMA20 $764.82, SMA20 slope slightly negative) - reduce exposure; only 4-star+ setups qualify, which this run correctly enforced.
⚠ Risk sizing / execution (sized_orders.json) and sell-rule checks are out of scope for this scan-only pipeline - not evaluated this run.
📈 시장 레짐 상세
SMA10: $766.75 · SMA20: $764.82
SMA10 기울기: 0.3242 · SMA20 기울기: -0.0683