OLLI PASS ★★☆☆☆VCP | $73.61 | 확신도 0.00
🔍 스캔 후보 이유
셋업: VCP
ADR: 4.4% · RS: 96%ile
갭: +0.4% · Vol배수: 0.1x
거래대금: $142M
진입: $73.61 · 스탑: $65.24
스탑 거리: 11.4%
타이트닝: 폴37% T=0/3 body=0.0% atr=2.68
📊 Setup Evaluator
등급: ★★☆☆☆ ·
확신도: 0.30Fails Qulla VCP criteria. Valid VCP needs a stock in an uptrend forming progressively tighter contractions (T1->T2->T3) near highs; OLLI is the opposite. Mechanical tightness note shows 0/3 contractions (T=0/3) and the 37% 'pole' is the bounce off lows. RS 96 likely inflated by the recent sharp recovery. Quant filters within limits: ADR 4.4%, $vol $141.5M, stop_dist 11.4%. Low quality, low conviction.
🧠 Decision Agent
결정: PASS ·
확신도: 0.00Market regime is BEAR. Per Qulla regime gates, VCP setups are a hard PASS in BEAR markets (no long VCP entries when SPY is below its declining 10/20 SMA). Independent of the gate, the evaluator flagged OLLI as a counter-trend bounce off a 6-month downtrend (-46% from Feb high), not a valid VCP: 0/3 contractions, RS 96 inflated by the recent recovery off the July low. No trade.
⚠ RS 96 and reclaim of the 10/20 SMA could tempt a bottom-fishing entry, but Qulla forbids buying VCPs in a bear regime and forbids chasing counter-trend bounces. Watchlist only if SPY regime flips to MOMENTUM/DIFFICULT and OLLI builds a real tight base near highs.
👁️ LLM Vision
anomaly/counter-trend: 6-month downtrend from ~$115 (Feb) to ~$62 (early Jul), -46%. Current $73.61 'entry' is a bounce off the low, not a breakout from a base near highs. Volume spiked at the July capitulation low, recent up-move on modest volume. Price just reclaimed 10/20 SMA but the structure is a lower-high recovery, not institutional accumulation.
🛡️ QA 품질 검수 — PASS
1 candidate (OLLI/VCP), 0 violations, 1 informational warning. Market regime BEAR -> VCP is a hard PASS. Evaluator rated OLLI anomaly/counter-trend (star 2), Decision PASS with dissent recorded. 0 trades today; no risk sizing required.
⚠ OLLI: RS percentile 96.4 is inconsistent with a -46% 6-month downtrend and is likely inflated by the recent sharp bounce off the July low. Correctly handled downstream (rated anomaly, PASS).
📈 시장 레짐 상세
SMA10: $740.60 · SMA20: $745.34
SMA10 기울기: -0.7865 · SMA20 기울기: -0.1085
LYFT SMC$15.48 | 당일 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 4.3% · 거래대금: $181M · RS: 46%ile (참고)
진입: $15.48 · 스탑: $13.49 · 스탑거리: 12.9%
DASH SMC$195.14 | 당일 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.2% · 거래대금: $786M · RS: 85%ile (참고)
진입: $195.14 · 스탑: $166.58 · 스탑거리: 14.6%
AMBA SMC$75.64 | 당일 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (당일 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 7.6% · 거래대금: $134M · RS: 100%ile (참고)
진입: $75.64 · 스탑: $62.45 · 스탑거리: 17.4%
DDOG SMC$265.77 | 1봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 5.1% · 거래대금: $1070M · RS: 68%ile (참고)
진입: $265.77 · 스탑: $237.67 · 스탑거리: 10.6%
OLLI SMC$73.61 | 1봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (1봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 4.4% · 거래대금: $154M · RS: 96%ile (참고)
진입: $73.61 · 스탑: $64.00 · 스탑거리: 13.1%
DUOL SMC$132.49 | 2봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 5.2% · 거래대금: $152M · RS: 41%ile (참고)
진입: $132.49 · 스탑: $117.21 · 스탑거리: 11.5%
ESTC SMC$64.36 | 2봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-BOS)
ADR: 4.6% · 거래대금: $105M · RS: 79%ile (참고)
진입: $64.36 · 스탑: $56.06 · 스탑거리: 12.9%
NOW SMC$109.25 | 2봉 전 전환
🟢 SMC 신호
Hull: green (2봉 전 전환) · 내부구조: bull (I-CHoCH)
ADR: 5.6% · 거래대금: $2479M · RS: 84%ile (참고)
진입: $109.25 · 스탑: $91.53 · 스탑거리: 16.2%